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Midnight Mayhem

A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.56
1.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
—
top-only feed: not summed
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedadvertised only

SkinRave publishes its notable drops only. Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0top-only feed——
7d708top-only feed—sample
30d870top-only feed—sample
All870top-only feed—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covertSleepybeae420/$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$611611 SKINRAVE_TOKEN391.7x
★ Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covertRinalds. N$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$611611 SKINRAVE_TOKEN391.7x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New)weapon · milspec$crim$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.440.44 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.28x
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$crim$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.160.16 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.10x
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$crim$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.160.16 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.10x
Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New)weapon · milspec$crim$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.440.44 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.28x
Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New)weapon · milspec$crim$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.440.44 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.28x
Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New)weapon · milspec1.$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.440.44 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.28x
Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New)weapon · milspecSifonso$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.440.44 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.28x
Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New)weapon · milspecUse Code LOHS$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.440.44 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.28x
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New)weapon · Consumer GradeUse Code LOHS$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.160.16 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.10x
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Gradetoks top g$1.561.56 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.160.16 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Not summed for a top-only feed

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed