Hail Mary

A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.75
1.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
—
top-only feed: not summed
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedadvertised only

SkinRave publishes its notable drops only. Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0top-only feed——
7d7,888top-only feed—sample
30d10.2Ktop-only feed—sample
All10.2Ktop-only feed—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunny_poet$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunnyEliteAGT$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunnykapusta$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunnykapusta$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunny3zzyStach$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunnybralis athods$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunnyWieNN [CSWIN]$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunnyMR Born to Lose$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunnyICANWUFFYOU_SK$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$515515 SKINRAVE_TOKEN294.5x

Latest dropsnewest first

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerPūks$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerbrachka22$1.751.75 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Not summed for a top-only feed

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed