Hail Mary V2

A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.18
3.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
—
top-only feed: not summed
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedadvertised only

SkinRave publishes its notable drops only. Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0top-only feed——
7d5,802top-only feed—sample
30d7,421top-only feed—sample
All7,421top-only feed—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · RareLadyBoy Top 0,001% In The World$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x
Sticker | Not For Resalesticker · Rarebrachka22$3.183.18 SKINRAVE_TOKEN$0.020.02 SKINRAVE_TOKEN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Not summed for a top-only feed

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed