20% JUICE JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$90.90
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $79.54 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.16%
691 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 694 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/20-juice-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $90.90 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $90.24 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $91.26 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $91.75 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $91.69 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $92.03 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $92.90 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $92.03 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $92.86 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $92.03 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $92.76 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $93.21 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $92.76 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $93.10 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $92.44 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $92.68 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $92.96 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $92.68 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $93.06 | 87.50% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 9.1%sunny 3.0%covert 30.3%Ancient 3.0%pink 9.1%Legendary 4.5%uncommon 4.5%Mythical 5.9%Rare 4.1%#8847ff 4.1%violet 3.6%Restricted 2.3%restricted 2.3%blue 5.5%#4b69ff 4.5%common 2.3%milspec 1.8%best hit —