BABUSHKA
A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$152.50
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $133.43 from 72 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.23%
1,752 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values72 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,752 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/babushka, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $153 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $153 | 87.71% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $153 | 87.94% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $153 | 87.88% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $153 | 87.70% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $153 | 87.92% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $153 | 87.70% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $153 | 87.92% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $153 | 87.70% | 72 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $153 | 88.01% | 72 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $153 | 87.81% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $153 | 87.71% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $153 | 87.71% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $153 | 87.87% | 72 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $153 | 87.93% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $153 | 87.79% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $153 | 87.85% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $153 | 87.52% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $153 | 87.85% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $153 | 87.78% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $153 | 87.22% | 72 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $153 | 87.68% | 72 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 4.9%sunny 4.3%epic 2.2%#ffd700 1.3%covert 46.7%classified 10.2%Immortal 1.7%Covert 9.7%restricted 13.5%red 1.4%Ancient 0.8%Mythical 3.3%best hit $2,180 (14.30x)