BABUSHKA JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$307.63
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $269.18 from 72 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.81%
345 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values72 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 383 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/babushka-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $308 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $310 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $320 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $311 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $320 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $319 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $320 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $313 | 87.36% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $313 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $320 | 87.50% | 72 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 6.8%sunny 11.9%epic 4.8%#ffd700 2.4%covert 42.6%classified 7.1%Immortal 2.4%Covert 8.3%restricted 10.7%red 1.2%Ancient 0.6%Mythical 1.2%best hit $2,263 (7.06x)