BLAZE
A case on Casehug (PREMIUM), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$35.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $30.62 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.71%
8,417 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,438 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/blaze, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $35.00 | 87.50% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $35.00 | 87.55% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $35.00 | 87.71% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $35.00 | 87.29% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $35.00 | 88.02% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $35.00 | 87.89% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $35.00 | 87.98% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $35.00 | 86.64% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $35.00 | 88.01% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $35.00 | 87.57% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $35.00 | 87.16% | 50 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $35.00 | 87.53% | 50 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $35.00 | 86.95% | 50 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $35.00 | 87.63% | 50 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 7.8%rare 4.0%classified 4.0%mil spec 0.2%epic 0.2%red 15.8%Ancient 7.2%Covert 1.0%Legendary 6.4%pink 18.0%blue 35.4%best hit $2,826 (80.75x)