DMG JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$544.83
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $476.72 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.29%
152 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 153 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/dmg-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $545 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $544 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $550 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $557 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $557 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $557 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $557 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $557 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $557 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $558 | 87.50% | 19 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 52.6%restricted 10.5%epic 15.8%legendary 5.3%rare 5.3%blue 10.5%best hit $2,292 (4.12x)