EL BOBRITO
A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$3.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $2.63 from 55 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.67%
12.8K openings, odds method
Variance
8.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values55 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.8K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/el-bobrito, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $3.00 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $3.00 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $3.00 | 87.81% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $3.00 | 87.69% | 55 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $3.00 | 87.69% | 55 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $3.00 | 87.94% | 55 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $3.00 | 87.10% | 55 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $3.00 | 86.96% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $3.00 | 87.56% | 55 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $3.00 | 87.73% | 55 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.00 | 87.95% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $3.00 | 87.42% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $3.00 | 87.74% | 55 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $3.00 | 86.88% | 55 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.4%extraordinary 0.0%red 0.2%classified 15.2%pink 7.7%#d32ee6 0.1%Classified 2.1%violet 24.2%blue 23.1%#4b69ff 15.6%Mythical 3.9%#8847ff 3.6%Rare 3.8%best hit $433 (144.4x)