EL BOBRITO JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$70.57
Advertised RTP
87.51%
EV $61.75 from 55 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.59%
533 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values55 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 681 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/el-bobrito-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.51%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $70.57 | 87.51% | 55 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $70.51 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $68.68 | 87.51% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $72.95 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $73.02 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $72.20 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $72.93 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $72.99 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $72.93 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $72.99 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $73.03 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $72.93 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $72.10 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $71.86 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $72.78 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $72.92 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $71.86 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $72.78 | 87.50% | 55 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 28.3%extraordinary 5.0%red 6.7%classified 24.2%pink 8.3%#d32ee6 1.3%Classified 1.3%violet 11.2%blue 4.0%Mythical 2.5%#4b69ff 4.0%#8847ff 1.3%Rare 2.0%best hit —