EL DORADO
A case on Casehug (BESTSELLERS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$100.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $87.50 from 54 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.83%
8,234 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,238 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/el-dorado, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $100 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $100 | 87.91% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $100 | 87.68% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $100 | 87.45% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $100 | 87.69% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $100 | 87.49% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $100 | 87.69% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $100 | 87.56% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $100 | 87.17% | 54 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $100 | 88.04% | 54 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $100 | 87.22% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $100 | 87.59% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $100 | 86.94% | 54 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $100 | 87.08% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $100 | 87.91% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $100 | 87.89% | 54 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $100 | 87.77% | 54 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 25.4%sunny 6.0%gold 0.0%Covert 16.5%#ffd700 1.1%pink 29.1%#eb4b4b 4.7%Legendary 13.5%Ancient 3.5%best hit $2,808 (28.08x)