EL DORADO JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$761.84
Advertised RTP
90.50%
EV $689.47 from 54 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.82%
1,295 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,318 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/el-dorado-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $762 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $763 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $764 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $772 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $764 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $765 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $769 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $773 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $772 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $778 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $780 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $778 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $780 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $782 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $780 | 90.50% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $784 | 90.50% | 54 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 51.2%sunny 23.8%gold 2.4%Covert 4.8%#ffd700 2.4%pink 7.9%#eb4b4b 2.4%Legendary 4.0%Ancient 1.2%best hit $3,155 (4.05x)