FROZEN SOUL JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$2,116.93
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $1,852.31 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.21%
1,712 openings, odds method
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,811 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/frozen-soul-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2,117 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2,119 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $2,136 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $2,140 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $2,143 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $2,128 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $2,143 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2,128 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2,156 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2,158 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 3 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2,161 | 87.50% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 57.1%legendary 2.4%extraordinary 2.4%rare 7.1%red 11.9%sunny 4.8%blue 9.5%classified 4.8%best hit $15K (6.95x)