GOLDERRA JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$299.33
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $261.92 from 56 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.73%
401 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 410 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/golderra-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $299 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $302 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $302 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $303 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $303 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $303 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $303 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $306 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $303 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $304 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $306 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $308 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $309 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $314 | 87.50% | 56 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 24.6%covert 32.5%gold 2.5%extraordinary 5.0%rare 2.5%sunny 2.5%pink 8.7%Legendary 6.5%Classified 3.0%#d32ee6 2.3%violet 7.5%Mythical 2.5%best hit $1,726 (5.51x)