HORUS JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$73.10
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $63.96 from 56 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.47%
498 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 563 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/horus-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $73.10 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $72.17 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $73.38 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $73.28 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $73.68 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $74.46 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $74.45 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $74.13 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $74.53 | 87.51% | 56 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $72.95 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $73.73 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $73.91 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $73.73 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $74.77 | 87.49% | 56 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 17.2%red 3.4%classified 6.4%Ancient 2.9%violet 13.7%pink 3.4%#d32ce6 2.0%#4b69ff 3.1%mil spec 2.0%blue 17.8%restricted 2.0%#8847ff 7.8%Rare 5.3%Mil Spec Grade 1.2%blueLight 7.1%Uncommon 1.2%light blue 2.4%Industrial Grade 1.2%best hit $530 (7.17x)