ISAMU V3 JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$1,418.85
Advertised RTP
90.50%
EV $1,284.06 from 68 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.63%
609 openings, odds method
Variance
4.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values68 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 660 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/isamu-v3-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $1,419 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1,408 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $1,420 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1,429 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $1,423 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $1,421 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $1,429 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $1,422 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $1,428 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $1,422 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1,424 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1,424 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $1,428 | 90.50% | 68 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $1,424 | 90.50% | 68 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 26.4%contraband 4.2%classified 25.8%legendary 8.3%extraordinary 12.5%restricted 4.2%rare 0.8%Immortal 1.4%gold 1.4%Ancient 0.8%red 2.5%pink 5.0%Legendary 1.7%#d32ee6 0.8%violet 3.3%uncommon 0.8%best hit $14.1K (9.84x)