JASONPLAY JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$86.20
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $75.43 from 63 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.68%
424 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 441 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/jasonplay-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $86.20 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $87.26 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $87.97 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $86.88 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $88.56 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $87.77 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $88.61 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $87.77 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $89.27 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $88.61 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $88.77 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $88.71 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $89.47 | 87.50% | 63 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 37.0%extraordinary 8.7%red 5.1%Covert 1.1%classified 8.7%Ancient 4.7%Legendary 6.9%pink 15.9%#d32ee6 2.2%Classified 1.1%restricted 3.0%violet 5.7%best hit —