PRINTSTREAM

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

Price

$15.00

Advertised RTP

87.50%

EV $13.13 from 96 items

Observed RTP, 30d

90.13%

15.7K openings, odds method

Variance

4.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

19.6%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

66.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

87.94%±11.031,558 openings

7 days

90.40%±3.7014.3K openings

30 days

90.13%±3.5215.7K openings

since tracking started

90.13%±3.5215.7K openings

76.5%88.0%99.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,558	87.94%±11.0	+0.1σ	odds
7d	14.3K	90.40%±3.70	+1.6σ	odds
30d	15.7K	90.13%±3.52	+1.5σ	odds
All	15.7K	90.13%±3.52	+1.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values96 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl	1 in 10,000	$2,905	2.2%	3	1.6	1.91×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny	1 in 50,000	$1,627	0.2%	0	0.3	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal	1 in 20,000	$510	0.2%	0	0.8	—
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 50,000	$470	0.1%	0	0.3	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Well-Worn)gloves · sunny	1 in 20,000	$424	0.2%	0	0.8	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Battle-Scarred)gloves · sunny	1 in 12,500	$357	0.2%	0	1.3	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 33,333	$277	0.1%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$212	0.2%	0	1.6	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$210	0.2%	0	1.9	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · Ancient	1 in 12,500	$197	0.1%	0	1.3	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 7,692	$175	0.2%	0	2.0	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · red	1 in 5,882	$115	0.1%	0	2.7	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 4,000	$90.82	0.2%	0	3.9	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 2,439	$82.29	0.3%	0	6.4	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 1,176	$67.93	0.4%	0	13.3	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · red	1 in 2,128	$67.89	0.2%	0	7.4	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 1,613	$60.74	0.3%	0	9.7	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 1,515	$58.55	0.3%	0	10.4	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 855	$57.96	0.5%	0	18.4	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 1,205	$57.30	0.4%	0	13.0	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 348	$55.92	1.2%	0	45.1	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 372	$54.89	1.1%	0	42.2	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 322	$53.73	1.3%	0	48.8	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 267	$53.63	1.5%	0	58.9	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 315	$53.21	1.3%	0	49.8	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare	1 in 179	$52.86	2.3%	0	87.8	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 218	$48.44	1.7%	0	71.9	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 258	$47.11	1.4%	0	60.9	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert	1 in 270	$46.69	1.3%	0	58.3	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 694	$45.59	0.5%	0	22.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 219	$43.39	1.5%	0	71.6	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 233	$43.39	1.4%	0	67.4	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 202	$40.36	1.5%	0	77.7	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient	1 in 188	$40.23	1.6%	0	83.4	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 82	$36.22	3.4%	0	192.5	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 107	$26.30	1.9%	0	146.8	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 35	$23.75	5.2%	0	447.3	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 34	$23.20	5.3%	0	468.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 33	$23.01	5.3%	0	476.3	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 116	$22.44	1.5%	0	135.1	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 58	$21.79	2.9%	0	272.5	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 59	$21.70	2.8%	0	264.6	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 54	$21.18	3.0%	0	288.3	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 53	$20.98	3.0%	0	293.8	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 51	$20.03	3.0%	0	310.6	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 50	$19.97	3.0%	0	312.5	0.00×
AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 60	$17.60	2.2%	0	260.4	0.00×
AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon	1 in 138	$17.07	0.9%	0	114.2	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 53	$15.18	2.2%	0	294.8	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 22	$14.82	5.1%	0	712.7	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 22	$14.67	5.2%	0	728.4	0.00×
AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 15	$13.14	6.9%	0	1077.7	0.00×
P250 \| Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 33	$12.34	2.8%	0	475.4	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 275	$11.45	0.3%	0	57.2	0.00×
AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 145	$10.77	0.6%	0	108.4	0.00×
AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 251	$8.73	0.3%	0	62.7	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 143	$7.60	0.4%	0	110.1	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 143	$7.60	0.4%	0	110.1	0.00×
P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 207	$7.46	0.3%	0	76.0	0.00×
AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested)weapon · rare	1 in 150	$7.25	0.4%	0	104.6	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 847	$7.24	0.1%	0	18.5	0.00×
AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 139	$6.92	0.4%	0	112.8	0.00×
AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon	1 in 166	$6.74	0.3%	0	94.7	0.00×
P250 \| Kintsugi (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 159	$6.33	0.3%	0	98.8	0.00×
AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 120	$6.30	0.4%	0	131.0	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 806	$5.95	0.1%	0	19.5	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Factory New)weapon · 3	1 in 769	$5.16	0.1%	0	20.4	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 521	$4.87	0.1%	0	30.2	0.00×
P250 \| Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 103	$4.82	0.4%	0	152.8	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 415	$4.62	0.1%	0	37.8	0.00×
AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 85	$4.43	0.4%	0	185.5	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 617	$4.41	0.1%	0	25.4	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 248	$3.06	0.1%	0	63.3	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon	1 in 240	$2.78	0.1%	0	65.5	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New)weapon · Restricted	1 in 290	$2.19	0.1%	0	54.2	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 188	$2.13	0.1%	0	83.7	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 155	$1.85	0.1%	0	101.5	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 83	$1.68	0.2%	0	190.3	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 60	$1.38	0.2%	0	260.7	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 70	$1.38	0.2%	0	225.8	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 57	$1.22	0.2%	0	275.0	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 56	$1.21	0.2%	0	278.6	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mythical	1 in 48	$1.19	0.2%	0	330.3	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 59	$1.16	0.1%	0	265.1	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 57	$1.13	0.2%	0	276.4	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 70	$1.13	0.1%	0	223.2	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 65	$1.10	0.1%	0	240.8	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 92	$1.07	0.1%	0	170.4	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred)weapon · common	1 in 47	$1.01	0.2%	0	330.7	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 50	$0.93	0.1%	0	314.9	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 49	$0.90	0.1%	0	321.0	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 38	$0.79	0.2%	0	408.8	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 39	$0.78	0.2%	0	403.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 46	$0.69	0.1%	0	343.5	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 46	$0.69	0.1%	0	343.5	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 43	$0.67	0.1%	0	361.2	0.00×

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from casehug:cases/printstream, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$15.00$2,982198.8x6d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$15.00$2,950196.7x3d

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchersgloves · rare$15.00$54136.04x3d

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchersgloves · rare♥Bukaj♥$15.00$54136.04x3d

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchersgloves · rare$15.00$54136.04x3d

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchersgloves · rare$15.00$54035.98x21h

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchersgloves · rare$15.00$53435.61x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

USP-S | Ticket to Hellweapon · violetBaninho$15.00$0.800.05x1m

M4A1-S | Decimatorweapon · pinkYun$15.00$15.731.05x8m

M4A1-S | Decimatorweapon · pink$15.00$15.731.05x15m

MP7 | Amberlineweapon · restrictedPa$$$iu$15.00$1.090.07x15m

USP-S | Monster Mashupweapon · pink$15.00$24.881.66x17m

AK-47 | Crane Flightweapon · pinkMosQuit$15.00$13.770.92x17m

P250 | Kintsugiweapon · pink$15.00$9.710.65x23m

P250 | Kintsugiweapon · pinkUxakoi$15.00$9.710.65x23m

Desert Eagle | Printstreamweapon · redMosQuit$15.00$45.913.06x23m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC	$15.00	87.50%	96
10 Nov, 14:25 UTC	$15.00	87.68%	96
9 Nov, 20:14 UTC	$15.00	87.28%	96
9 Nov, 14:10 UTC	$15.00	87.34%	96
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$15.00	87.47%	96
8 Nov, 23:35 UTC	$15.00	87.47%	96
8 Nov, 17:31 UTC	$15.00	87.35%	96
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC	$15.00	87.47%	96
7 Nov, 23:20 UTC	$15.00	87.58%	96
6 Nov, 23:04 UTC	$15.00	87.37%	96
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC	$15.00	87.53%	96
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC	$15.00	87.43%	96
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC	$15.00	87.53%	96
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$15.00	87.51%	96
3 Nov, 22:42 UTC	$15.00	87.42%	96
3 Nov, 10:08 UTC	$15.00	87.55%	96
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC	$15.00	87.28%	96

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed3 0.1%covert 2.2%sunny 0.0%Immortal 0.0%Ancient 1.1%red 1.6%rare 1.2%Covert 0.4%classified 19.7%pink 33.0%uncommon 1.7%violet 16.5%#d32ce6 0.7%Mythical 6.0%Restricted 0.3%#8847ff 5.6%restricted 7.6%common 2.1%best hit $2,982 (198.8x)