PRINTSTREAM JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

Price

$217.60

Advertised RTP

87.50%

EV $190.40 from 96 items

Observed RTP, 30d

92.32%

545 openings, odds method

Variance

7.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 23

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

89.6%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

50 openings · below min

7 days

92.65%±23.59543 openings

30 days

92.32%±23.55545 openings

since tracking started

92.32%±23.55545 openings

-0.5%58.3%117.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	50	13.84%±77.7	—	odds
7d	543	92.65%±23.6	+0.4σ	odds
30d	545	92.32%±23.5	+0.4σ	odds
All	545	92.32%±23.5	+0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values96 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 639 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl	1 in 23	$2,905	66.3%	31	27.8	1.12×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny	1 in 92	$1,627	9.3%	0	6.9	0.00×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal	1 in 92	$510	2.9%	0	6.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$470	2.1%	0	5.6	0.00×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Well-Worn)gloves · sunny	1 in 92	$424	2.4%	0	6.9	0.00×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Battle-Scarred)gloves · sunny	1 in 92	$357	2.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$277	1.3%	0	5.6	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$212	1.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$210	1.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · Ancient	1 in 115	$197	0.9%	0	5.6	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 115	$175	0.8%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · red	1 in 115	$115	0.5%	0	5.6	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$90.82	0.4%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 115	$82.29	0.4%	0	5.6	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 69	$67.93	0.5%	0	9.3	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · red	1 in 115	$67.89	0.3%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$60.74	0.3%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$58.55	0.3%	0	5.6	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 69	$57.96	0.4%	0	9.3	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 115	$57.30	0.3%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$55.92	0.3%	0	5.6	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$54.89	0.3%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$53.73	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 115	$53.63	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$53.21	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare	1 in 69	$52.86	0.4%	0	9.3	0.00×
AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 115	$48.44	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$47.11	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert	1 in 115	$46.69	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 115	$45.59	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 115	$43.39	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 115	$43.39	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 115	$40.36	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient	1 in 115	$40.23	0.2%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 92	$36.22	0.2%	0	6.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$26.30	0.2%	0	6.9	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 92	$23.75	0.1%	0	6.9	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$23.20	0.1%	0	6.9	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$23.01	0.1%	0	6.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 115	$22.44	0.1%	0	5.6	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 69	$21.79	0.2%	0	9.3	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 69	$21.70	0.2%	0	9.3	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 69	$21.18	0.2%	0	9.3	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 69	$20.98	0.2%	0	9.3	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 69	$20.03	0.2%	0	9.3	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 69	$19.97	0.2%	0	9.3	0.00×
AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 69	$17.60	0.1%	0	9.3	0.00×
AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon	1 in 92	$17.07	0.1%	0	6.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 115	$15.18	0.1%	0	5.6	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 115	$14.82	0.1%	0	5.6	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 115	$14.67	0.1%	0	5.6	0.00×
AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 69	$13.14	0.1%	0	9.3	0.00×
P250 \| Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$12.34	0.1%	0	6.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 92	$11.45	0.1%	0	6.9	0.00×
AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 69	$10.77	0.1%	0	9.3	0.00×
AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$8.73	0.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$7.60	0.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 92	$7.60	0.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$7.46	0.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested)weapon · rare	1 in 69	$7.25	0.1%	0	9.3	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$7.24	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 69	$6.92	0.1%	0	9.3	0.00×
AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon	1 in 92	$6.74	0.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
P250 \| Kintsugi (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$6.33	0.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 69	$6.30	0.0%	0	9.3	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$5.95	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Factory New)weapon · 3	1 in 115	$5.16	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$4.87	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
P250 \| Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$4.82	0.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 115	$4.62	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 92	$4.43	0.0%	0	6.9	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$4.41	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 115	$3.06	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon	1 in 115	$2.78	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New)weapon · Restricted	1 in 115	$2.19	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$2.13	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 115	$1.85	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$1.68	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 115	$1.38	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 115	$1.38	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 115	$1.22	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 115	$1.21	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mythical	1 in 115	$1.19	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$1.16	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$1.13	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 115	$1.13	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$1.10	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 115	$1.07	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred)weapon · common	1 in 115	$1.01	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$0.93	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$0.90	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP7 \| Amberline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$0.79	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 115	$0.78	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 115	$0.69	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 115	$0.69	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 115	$0.67	0.0%	0	5.6	0.00×

Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from casehug:cases/printstream-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$222$2,98213.42x2d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$222$2,98213.42x3d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black PearlXM1NN$222$2,98213.42x3d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$222$2,98213.42x3d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black PearlXM1NN$222$2,98213.42x3d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$222$2,98213.42x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

M4A1-S | Nightmareweapon · pink$218$13.240.06x46m

MAC-10 | Saibā Oniweapon · violet$218$2.350.01x46m

AWP | Ice Coaledweapon · pink$218$9.240.04x46m

M4A1-S | Nightmareweapon · pinkliv$218$13.240.06x46m

USP-S | Printstreamweapon · red$218$62.710.29x2h

SSG 08 | Bloodshotweapon · pink$218$21.320.10x2h

USP-S | Ticket to Hellweapon · violetChrasťoušekS$218$1.060.00x2h

P250 | Kintsugiweapon · pink$218$7.740.04x2h

AWP | Printstreamweapon · red$218$87.720.40x2h

SSG 08 | Bloodshotweapon · pink$218$21.320.10x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC	$218	87.50%	96
10 Nov, 20:31 UTC	$218	87.50%	96
9 Nov, 20:14 UTC	$220	87.50%	96
9 Nov, 08:07 UTC	$220	87.50%	96
8 Nov, 23:35 UTC	$221	87.50%	96
7 Nov, 17:16 UTC	$222	87.50%	96
6 Nov, 17:00 UTC	$222	87.50%	96
6 Nov, 10:57 UTC	$222	87.50%	96
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC	$223	87.50%	96
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC	$223	87.50%	96
5 Nov, 04:40 UTC	$223	87.50%	96
3 Nov, 22:42 UTC	$218	87.50%	96

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed3 0.9%covert 15.6%sunny 3.3%Immortal 1.1%Ancient 4.3%red 8.1%rare 2.9%Covert 0.9%classified 13.6%pink 20.4%uncommon 3.0%violet 11.3%#d32ce6 1.4%Mythical 4.3%Restricted 0.9%#8847ff 3.5%restricted 3.5%common 0.9%best hit $2,982 (13.42x)