QUANTUM JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$2,030.20
Advertised RTP
90.50%
EV $1,837.33 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.15%
375 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 431 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/quantum-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2,030 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2,035 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $2,035 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2,040 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $2,044 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $2,034 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $2,052 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $2,058 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $2,048 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $2,048 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2,049 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2,036 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $2,045 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2,027 | 90.50% | 40 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2,036 | 90.50% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 60.0%contraband 4.0%classified 8.0%restricted 4.0%extraordinary 10.0%rare 5.3%gold 1.3%legendary 1.0%epic 6.3%best hit $10.4K (5.06x)