SNAKE

A case on Casehug (BATTLE), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

Price
$112.50
Advertised RTP
87.73%
EV $98.70 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.17%
3,549 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
88.84%±10.13443 openings
7 days
87.65%±3.893,002 openings
30 days
88.17%±3.573,549 openings
since tracking started
88.17%±3.573,549 openings
78.0%88.8%99.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h44388.84%±10.1+0.2σodds
7d3,00287.65%±3.89−0.0σodds
30d3,54988.17%±3.57+0.3σodds
All3,54988.17%±3.57+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,560 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 3,333$2,7480.8%01.10.00×
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 2,500$1,9560.8%11.40.70×
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 2,000$1,6480.8%31.81.69×
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 1,429$1,1230.8%32.51.20×
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 1,429$1,0440.7%42.51.61×
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 769$5950.8%34.60.65×
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 714$5530.8%55.01.00×
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 667$4930.7%65.31.12×
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 74$3965.4%3748.10.77×
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd7001 in 56$3025.4%7863.01.24×
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 53$2855.4%6966.91.03×
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny10.9%$26429.1%371388.40.96×
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 15$15310.3%291237.51.23×
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 11$11410.4%262320.00.82×
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 16$84.205.2%240217.21.11×
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 35$64.441.9%0101.10.00×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 32$55.331.7%0111.10.00×
Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 14$54.544.0%254260.60.97×
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 22$45.172.1%0164.10.00×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 22$42.242.0%0164.10.00×
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 12$36.493.2%310304.01.02×
USP-S | Road Rash (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 12$35.173.1%316308.71.02×
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · violet1 in 21$23.061.1%0168.70.00×
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · violet1 in 17$19.451.2%0212.20.00×
P90 | Death Grip (Well-Worn)weapon · violet11.2%$18.472.1%395400.10.99×
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from casehug:cases/snake, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.73%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
10 Nov, 14:25 UTC$11387.73%25
10 Nov, 02:18 UTC$11387.64%25
9 Nov, 20:14 UTC$11387.53%25
9 Nov, 14:10 UTC$11387.75%25
9 Nov, 02:04 UTC$11387.53%25
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$11387.79%25
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$11387.53%25
8 Nov, 23:35 UTC$11387.81%25
8 Nov, 17:31 UTC$11387.53%25
7 Nov, 23:20 UTC$11387.79%25
6 Nov, 23:04 UTC$11387.82%25
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$11387.66%25
4 Nov, 22:36 UTC$11387.72%25
3 Nov, 22:42 UTC$11387.37%25
3 Nov, 10:08 UTC$11387.60%25
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC$11387.38%25
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedsunny 21.3%gold 0.2%Covert 9.0%#ffd700 1.8%#eb4b4b 6.1%covert 10.6%blue 7.3%Ancient 4.6%classified 8.5%restricted 8.7%violet 21.9%best hit $2,221 (19.74x)