SNAKE JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$622.53
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $544.71 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.25%
373 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 403 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/snake-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $623 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $625 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $627 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $631 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $646 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $643 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $647 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $650 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $641 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $650 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $641 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $655 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $656 | 87.50% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 40.9%gold 9.1%Covert 9.1%#ffd700 4.5%#eb4b4b 4.5%covert 6.8%blue 4.5%Ancient 2.3%classified 4.5%restricted 4.5%violet 9.1%best hit $2,812 (4.33x)