WAR GOD
A case on Casehug (BATTLE), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$2.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $1.75 from 56 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.34%
33.7K openings, odds method
Variance
14.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/war-god, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.50% | 56 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.00 | 88.16% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.00 | 86.96% | 56 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2.00 | 86.84% | 56 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.37% | 56 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $2.00 | 87.71% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $2.00 | 87.54% | 56 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $2.00 | 87.32% | 56 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $2.00 | 88.08% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 87.36% | 56 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $2.00 | 87.42% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.96% | 56 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $2.00 | 87.17% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2.00 | 87.18% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $2.00 | 87.04% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.43% | 56 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.00 | 87.04% | 56 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%covert 0.1%red 0.1%Ancient 0.1%classified 1.4%Legendary 2.8%#d32ee6 2.0%pink 6.7%#8847ff 12.2%Mythical 3.9%violet 35.7%blue 21.5%mil spec 1.3%#4b69ff 2.4%gray 9.9%best hit $712 (356.2x)