WARZONE JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$257.50
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $225.31 from 74 items
Observed RTP, 30d
73.43%
115 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values74 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 152 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/warzone-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $258 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $257 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $259 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $261 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $262 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $262 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $262 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $259 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $260 | 87.50% | 74 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 29.0%rare 3.3%extraordinary 10.0%#eb4b4b 1.7%classified 29.3%restricted 10.0%sunny 5.0%red 2.3%Ancient 5.3%pink 0.7%violet 3.3%best hit $1,154 (4.45x)