WILD WEST
A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$2.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $1.75 from 54 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.46%
16.7K openings, odds method
Variance
11.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/wild-west, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.50% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.00 | 87.40% | 54 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $2.00 | 87.65% | 54 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.00 | 87.07% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $2.00 | 87.44% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.43% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $2.00 | 87.06% | 54 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.00 | 87.85% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $2.00 | 87.06% | 54 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.22% | 54 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $2.00 | 87.21% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.00 | 86.94% | 54 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 86.85% | 54 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.77% | 54 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $2.00 | 88.37% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2.00 | 87.15% | 54 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.64% | 54 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.00 | 87.14% | 54 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.00 | 87.82% | 54 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 0.0%covert 0.1%classified 0.7%red 0.1%Ancient 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%Mythical 0.4%restricted 15.0%violet 48.8%Legendary 0.7%pink 0.5%#d32ee6 1.5%Classified 0.6%#8847ff 6.7%Restricted 1.1%blue 9.7%mil spec 4.3%gray 9.8%best hit $746 (373.1x)