WILDSHOT JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$148.93
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $130.32 from 72 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.39%
582 openings, odds method
Variance
6.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 29
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values72 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 684 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/wildshot-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $149 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $150 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $149 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $149 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $149 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $151 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $150 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $151 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $152 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $150 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $152 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $153 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $154 | 87.50% | 72 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 3.4%covert 35.6%Mythical 9.7%Legendary 10.5%classified 7.5%Ancient 4.6%red 4.6%pink 9.0%restricted 8.6%#8847ff 2.4%#d32ce6 0.7%violet 3.5%best hit $2,114 (13.75x)