Big Glock
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.12
10.23 coins
Advertised RTP
89.95%
EV $4.60 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.25%
15K openings, odds method
Variance
18.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)weapon · red · Emerald$5.1210.23 coins$466933 coins91.19x
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)weapon · red · Emerald$5.1210.23 coins$466933 coins91.19x
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)weapon · red · Emerald$5.1210.23 coins$466933 coins91.19x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.12 | 89.95% | 33 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 16.6%red 0.8%mil spec 12.2%covert 17.0%classified 0.1%industrial 21.1%Mil Spec Grade 0.1%Industrial Grade 0.1%Legendary 8.0%#4b69ff 12.0%Rare 12.0%best hit $1,182 (231.0x)