Bromance
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$95.63
191 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $86.07 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
39.86%
102 openings, odds method
Variance
6.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 102 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 102 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$95.63191 coins$6671,334 coins6.97x
Latest dropsnewest first
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)weapon · classified$95.63191 coins$40.6481.28 coins0.42x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $95.63 | 90.00% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 3.0%extraordinary 1.2%covert 3.6%#ffd700 1.2%classified 63.0%Legendary 9.0%#8847ff 9.0%#4b69ff 10.0%best hit $667 (6.97x)