Camo
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.74
15.47 coins
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $6.96 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
108.02%
320 openings, odds method
Variance
4.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 320 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir XM1014 | CaliCamo (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · industrial | 1 in 40 | $91.19 182 coins | 32.8% | 10 | 8.0 | 1.25× |
| G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 40 | $57.92 116 coins | 20.8% | 13 | 8.0 | 1.63× |
| XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $10.74 21.48 coins | 15.4% | 32 | 32.0 | 1.00× |
| Negev | CaliCamo (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 10.0% | $6.57 13.14 coins | 9.4% | 33 | 32.0 | 1.03× |
| G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $4.97 9.93 coins | 10.7% | 41 | 48.0 | 0.85× |
| P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff | 20.0% | $2.36 4.71 coins | 6.8% | 65 | 64.0 | 1.02× |
| Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $1.27 2.53 coins | 3.6% | 65 | 64.0 | 1.02× |
| Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade | 20.0% | $0.15 0.31 coins | 0.4% | 61 | 64.0 | 0.95× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.74 | 89.96% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedindustrial 30.0%mil spec 30.0%#87c7ff 20.0%Industrial Grade 20.0%best hit —