Price
$6.02
12.04 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $5.42 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.69%
6,072 openings, odds method
Variance
18.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,078 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted$6.0212.04 coins$1.272.54 coins0.21x
Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New)weapon · mil specvalentinslisaks$6.0212.04 coins$2.014.02 coins0.33x
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restrictedGrimViper3313$6.0212.04 coins$1.272.54 coins0.21x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.02 | 89.98% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 0.3%#4b69ff 11.3%rare 0.3%covert knife 0.6%classified 1.2%mil spec 53.3%restricted 15.0%Consumer Grade 8.0%milspec 10.0%best hit —