Gamma Ray

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.02
12.04 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $5.42 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.69%
6,072 openings, odds method
Variance
18.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
291 openings · below min
7 days
85.12%±11.645,290 openings
30 days
87.69%±10.866,072 openings
since tracking started
87.69%±10.866,072 openings
5.5%55.8%106.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h29155.80%±49.6—odds
7d5,29085.12%±11.6−0.8σodds
30d6,07287.69%±10.9−0.4σodds
All6,07287.69%±10.9−0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,078 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd7001 in 333$257 514 coins14.2%1418.20.77×
Negev | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 333$253 506 coins14.0%1818.20.99×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · rare1 in 333$253 506 coins14.0%2018.21.10×
★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 167$110 221 coins12.2%3636.50.99×
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 83$49.74 99.48 coins11.0%7172.90.97×
MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 40$23.04 46.07 coins10.6%155152.01.02×
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 29$12.52 25.03 coins8.1%203212.70.95×
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 17$4.58 9.15 coins5.1%371364.71.02×
Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 14$2.01 4.02 coins2.6%432425.51.02×
P250 | Mint Kimono (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 13$1.70 3.4 coins2.5%482486.20.99×
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 11$1.27 2.54 coins2.1%548547.01.00×
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec10.0%$0.66 1.32 coins1.2%616607.81.01×
Charm | Lil' SAScharm · #4b69ff11.0%$0.50 1 coins1.0%660668.60.99×
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New)weapon · mil spec40.3%$0.17 0.34 coins1.3%2,4522449.41.00×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted$6.0212.04 coins$1.272.54 coins0.21x
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Factory New)weapon · classified$6.0212.04 coins$49.7499.48 coins8.26x
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$6.0212.04 coins$0.661.32 coins0.11x
Charm | Lil' SAScharm · #4b69ff$6.0212.04 coins$0.501 coins0.08x
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$6.0212.04 coins$0.661.32 coins0.11x
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$6.0212.04 coins$0.661.32 coins0.11x
Charm | Lil' SAScharm · #4b69ff$6.0212.04 coins$0.501 coins0.08x
Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$6.0212.04 coins$2.014.02 coins0.33x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$6.0289.98%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#ffd700 0.3%#4b69ff 11.3%rare 0.3%covert knife 0.6%classified 1.2%mil spec 53.3%restricted 15.0%Consumer Grade 8.0%milspec 10.0%best hit —