Hyperdrive
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$29.08
58.16 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $26.17 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.92%
32 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
58.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 32 openings and 6.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 10,000 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold | 1 in 18 | $91.87 184 coins | 19.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× |
| ★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 17 | $87.89 176 coins | 20.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× |
| Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $56.28 113 coins | 21.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested)gloves · gold | 10.0% | $51.00 102 coins | 19.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| Desert Eagle | Pilot (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $48.62 97.23 coins | 18.6% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.88× |
| MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade | 58.5% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 17 | 18.7 | 0.91× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $29.08 | 89.99% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%covert 6.0%gold 15.5%restricted 20.0%Consumer Grade 58.5%best hit —