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IGLOO 5%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$125.00
250 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
63.30%
640 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
40 openings · below min
7 days
510 openings · below min
30 days
640 openings · below min
since tracking started
640 openings · below min
-0.5%108.3%217.0%

Small sample. 640 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4099.72%±116.7—sample
7d51054.89%±23.0—sample
30d64063.30%±25.8—sample
All64063.30%±25.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$125250 coins$6,64813,296 coins53.18x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · SapphireTMUBB$125250 coins$3,6177,234 coins28.93x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$125250 coins$2,4154,830 coins19.32x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$125250 coins$2,4154,830 coins19.32x
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary$125250 coins$1,7883,576 coins14.31x
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary$125250 coins$1,7883,576 coins14.31x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$125250 coins$1,5343,068 coins12.27x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$125250 coins$1,5343,068 coins12.27x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$125250 coins$1,5343,068 coins12.27x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$125250 coins$1,5343,068 coins12.27x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$125250 coins$1,0362,071 coins8.28x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specbigbombaclat$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$0.040.07 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,648 (53.18x)