Lots Of Emerald
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$85.51
171 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $76.96 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
143.46%
18 openings, odds method
Variance
6.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 18 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 12 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$85.51171 coins$5451,090 coins6.37x
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$85.51171 coins$5061,012 coins5.91x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$85.51171 coins$5061,012 coins5.91x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $85.51 | 90.00% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.5%extraordinary 1.0%Covert 0.0%epic 0.1%red 1.0%Extraordinary 5.0%restricted 29.9%classified 10.0%mil spec 21.6%Mil Spec Grade 5.0%gold 8.3%Mythical 16.6%best hit $545 (6.37x)