Snowpiercer

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9.04
18.07 coins
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $8.13 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.71%
3,092 openings, odds method
Variance
18.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
112.84%±38.54474 openings
7 days
100.94%±16.782,502 openings
30 days
98.71%±15.093,092 openings
since tracking started
98.71%±15.093,092 openings
73.5%112.8%152.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h474112.84%±38.5+1.2σodds
7d2,502100.94%±16.8+1.3σodds
30d3,09298.71%±15.1+1.1σodds
All3,09298.71%±15.1+1.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,092 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny1 in 100$310 620 coins38.2%4130.91.33×
Charm | Titeenium AWPcharm · Legendary1 in 100$226 451 coins27.7%2930.90.94×
AWP | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 100$79.87 160 coins9.8%2930.90.94×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 40$19.95 39.9 coins6.1%8177.31.05×
AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 40$18.99 37.97 coins5.8%7977.31.02×
AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 17$11.62 23.23 coins8.6%161185.50.87×
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 40$4.89 9.78 coins1.5%7677.30.98×
AWP | Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 40$3.94 7.88 coins1.2%9577.31.23×
AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 40$1.33 2.65 coins0.4%8477.31.09×
AWP | PAW (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 17$0.68 1.35 coins0.5%205185.51.11×
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 17$0.07 0.15 coins0.1%165185.50.89×
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff66.5%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%2,0472056.21.00×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$9.0418.07 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$9.0418.07 coins$19.9539.9 coins2.21x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$9.0418.07 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
AWP | Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$9.0418.07 coins$3.947.88 coins0.44x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$9.0418.07 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$9.0418.07 coins$0.070.15 coins0.01x
AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$9.0418.07 coins$11.6223.23 coins1.29x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffBG2x$9.0418.07 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$9.0418.07 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$9.0418.07 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$9.0489.96%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedsunny 1.0%Legendary 3.5%restricted 3.5%covert 2.5%industrial 8.5%Ancient 2.5%Mythical 6.0%milspec 6.0%#4b69ff 66.5%best hit —