Village
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.73
5.46 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $2.46 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.52%
242 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
53.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 242 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P250 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 100 | $23.04 46.07 coins | 9.4% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $22.31 44.61 coins | 9.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| Charm | Diamond Dogcharm · rare | 1 in 100 | $13.43 26.86 coins | 5.5% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 1 in 100 | $9.52 19.03 coins | 3.9% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $5.51 11.01 coins | 2.2% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $4.59 9.17 coins | 1.9% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.24× |
| Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 47.0% | $1.93 3.85 coins | 36.8% | 124 | 113.7 | 1.09× |
| P2000 | Pulse (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 47.0% | $1.64 3.27 coins | 31.3% | 108 | 113.7 | 0.95× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.73 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmil spec 48.0%covert 1.0%rare 1.0%Mythical 1.0%classified 1.0%restricted 48.0%best hit —