Yedi

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$15.18
30.36 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $13.66 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.17%
261 openings, odds method
Variance
6.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
94.45%±29.96255 openings
30 days
94.17%±29.61261 openings
since tracking started
94.17%±29.61261 openings
-0.5%133.5%267.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h427.48%±239.2—odds
7d25594.45%±30.0+0.3σodds
30d26194.17%±29.6+0.3σodds
All26194.17%±29.6+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 261 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert1 in 1,000$501 1,002 coins3.7%00.3—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 250$252 504 coins7.4%01.00.00×
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 200$151 302 coins5.5%31.32.30×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 40$126 252 coins23.0%76.51.07×
★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 40$100 201 coins18.4%66.50.92×
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted1 in 33$75.06 150 coins16.5%127.81.53×
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 33$45.68 91.35 coins10.0%47.80.51×
P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 33$34.93 69.86 coins7.7%107.81.28×
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 33$25.74 51.47 coins5.7%97.81.15×
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$16.67 33.34 coins1.2%42.61.53×
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$12.52 25.03 coins0.9%52.61.92×
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff80.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%201208.80.96×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$15.1830.36 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$15.1830.36 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$15.1830.36 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New)weapon · classifiedpooop$15.1830.36 coins$16.6733.34 coins1.10x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$15.1830.36 coins$25.7451.47 coins1.70x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$15.1830.36 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$15.1830.36 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$15.1830.36 coins$12.5225.03 coins0.82x
★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$15.1830.36 coins$100201 coins6.62x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffrekztimmy$15.1830.36 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$15.1889.98%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedCovert 0.1%classified 4.9%covert 2.5%covert knife 2.5%Restricted 3.0%restricted 3.0%mil spec 4.0%#4b69ff 80.0%best hit —