10% Treasure

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$56.35
86.69 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
59.70%
82 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
76 openings · below min
30 days
82 openings · below min
since tracking started
82 openings · below min
-0.5%60.5%121.5%

Small sample. 82 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2422.56%±44.2—sample
7d7643.51%±52.6—sample
30d8259.70%±61.2—sample
All8259.70%±61.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · covert$56.3586.69 gems$8951,377 gems15.89x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$56.3586.69 gems$632972 gems11.21x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Rat Packsticker · High Grade$56.3586.69 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$56.3586.69 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | Rat Packsticker · High Grade$56.3586.69 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$56.3586.69 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$56.3586.69 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
Sticker | Rat Packsticker · High GradeShadow$56.3586.69 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$56.3586.69 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | Rat Packsticker · High Grade$56.3586.69 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$56.3586.69 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$56.3586.69 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $925 (16.42x)