Big 10% Dogger

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$117.57
181 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.24%
340 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
92 openings · below min
7 days
304 openings · below min
30 days
340 openings · below min
since tracking started
340 openings · below min
12.5%79.0%145.5%

Small sample. 340 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h9279.01%±65.9—sample
7d30483.79%±39.4—sample
30d34084.24%±38.8—sample
All34084.24%±38.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contraband$118181 gems$3,3465,148 gems28.46x
M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contraband$118181 gems$3,3465,148 gems28.46x
AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$118181 gems$3,1524,849 gems26.81x
AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$118181 gems$3,1524,849 gems26.81x
★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$118181 gems$1,1771,811 gems10.01x
★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$118181 gems$1,1771,811 gems10.01x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$118181 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,346 (28.46x)