Price
$30.99
47.68 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $27.89 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
105.88%
2,644 openings, odds method
Variance
105.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 333
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,706 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$30.9947.68 gems$2,9244,498 gems94.34x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$30.9947.68 gems$2,9244,498 gems94.34x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$30.9947.68 gems$2,9244,498 gems94.34x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$30.9947.68 gems$2,9244,498 gems94.34x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$30.9947.68 gems$2,9244,498 gems94.34x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$30.9947.68 gems$2,9244,498 gems94.34x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$30.9947.68 gems$2,9244,498 gems94.34x
Latest dropsnewest first
Galil AR | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · #5e98d9Thomas the termonuclear bomb$30.9947.68 gems$0.330.5 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $30.99 | 89.99% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.1%extraordinary 0.2%restricted 16.0%classified 2.0%gold 3.0%#4b69ff 35.0%Mythical 10.0%#5e98d9 31.7%best hit $9,062 (292.4x)