Cool Cool
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$63.84
98.21 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $57.45 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.71%
550 openings, odds method
Variance
11.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 556 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contraband | 1 in 100 | $2,077 3,196 gems | 36.2% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.08× |
| Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 100 | $347 533 gems | 6.0% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.08× |
| MP7 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 33 | $266 409 gems | 13.9% | 21 | 16.7 | 1.26× |
| AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $251 387 gems | 13.1% | 15 | 16.7 | 0.90× |
| AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $69.84 107 gems | 6.1% | 31 | 27.8 | 1.12× |
| StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b | 1 in 20 | $58.49 89.99 gems | 5.1% | 33 | 27.8 | 1.19× |
| AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $51.53 79.27 gems | 4.5% | 28 | 27.8 | 1.01× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary | 18.0% | $26.01 40.01 gems | 8.1% | 107 | 100.1 | 1.07× |
| P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 18.0% | $10.15 15.62 gems | 3.2% | 98 | 100.1 | 0.98× |
| USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified | 41.0% | $5.32 8.19 gems | 3.8% | 211 | 228.0 | 0.93× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$63.8498.21 gems$26.0140.01 gems0.41x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · LegendaryFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$63.8498.21 gems$26.0140.01 gems0.41x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b$63.8498.21 gems$58.4989.99 gems0.92x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$63.8498.21 gems$26.0140.01 gems0.41x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$63.8498.21 gems$26.0140.01 gems0.41x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $63.84 | 89.99% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 1.0%rare 1.0%mil spec 3.0%covert 13.0%#eb4b4b 5.0%Legendary 18.0%classified 59.0%best hit $2,077 (32.54x)