Price
$45.14
69.45 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $40.63 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.10%
226 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 226 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted$45.1469.45 gems$173266 gems3.82x
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted$45.1469.45 gems$1.592.45 gems0.04x
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted$45.1469.45 gems$173266 gems3.82x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $45.14 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 2.0%restricted 26.0%classified 17.0%covert 25.0%Ancient 15.0%industrial 15.0%best hit —