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Deep Sea Diver

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$240.04
369 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $216.03 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
66.71%
244 openings, odds method
Variance
5.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
52 openings · below min
7 days
77.46%±32.97196 openings
30 days
66.71%±29.55244 openings
since tracking started
66.71%±29.55244 openings
-0.5%55.3%111.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5242.69%±64.0—odds
7d19677.46%±33.0−0.7σodds
30d24466.71%±29.5−1.5σodds
All24466.71%±29.5−1.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 248 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 50$2,732 4,204 gems25.3%25.00.40×
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 50$2,514 3,867 gems23.3%25.00.40×
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 50$1,364 2,098 gems12.6%75.01.41×
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 33$1,001 1,540 gems13.9%77.40.94×
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 33$819 1,259 gems11.4%67.40.81×
★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 17$185 285 gems5.1%1614.91.08×
P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified10.0%$78.21 120 gems3.6%2224.80.89×
★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · gold15.0%$50.60 77.85 gems3.5%3237.20.86×
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert15.0%$10.71 16.48 gems0.7%5237.21.40×
Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec15.0%$4.60 7.07 gems0.3%3637.20.97×
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New)weapon · mil spec27.0%$1.51 2.33 gems0.2%6667.00.99×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$240369 gems$2,7324,204 gems11.38x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$240369 gems$2,7324,204 gems11.38x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$240369 gems$2,5143,867 gems10.47x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$240369 gems$2,5143,867 gems10.47x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$240369 gems$1,3642,098 gems5.68x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$240369 gems$1,3642,098 gems5.68x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$240369 gems$1,3642,098 gems5.68x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$240369 gems$1,3642,098 gems5.68x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphirecode kujtaa 200$gw+200$lb$240369 gems$1,3642,098 gems5.68x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphirecode kujtaa 200$gw+200$lb$240369 gems$1,3642,098 gems5.68x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$240369 gems$10.7116.48 gems0.04x
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$240369 gems$10.7116.48 gems0.04x
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$240369 gems$1.512.33 gems0.01x
Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$240369 gems$4.607.07 gems0.02x
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$240369 gems$10.7116.48 gems0.04x
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covertKing-Hassany$240369 gems$10.7116.48 gems0.04x
P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified$240369 gems$78.21120 gems0.33x
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$240369 gems$10.7116.48 gems0.04x
Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$240369 gems$4.607.07 gems0.02x
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$240369 gems$1.512.33 gems0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 01:59 UTC$24090.00%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 27.0%extraordinary 6.0%classified 10.0%gold 15.0%mil spec 42.0%best hit $2,732 (11.38x)