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Diamond Handz

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4,283.18
6,590 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $3,854.82 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
124.03%
150 openings, odds method
Variance
14.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90 openings · below min
7 days
102 openings · below min
30 days
150 openings · below min
since tracking started
150 openings · below min
30.0%112.8%195.5%

Small sample. 150 openings and 4.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h90116.91%±77.8—odds
7d102104.00%±73.1—odds
30d150124.03%±60.3—odds
All150124.03%±60.3—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 150 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)knife1 in 100$137K 210,000 gems35.4%31.52.00×
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)weapon1 in 50$55.3K 85,000 gems28.7%43.01.33×
Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 50$34.1K 52,500 gems17.7%23.00.67×
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 20$9,189 14,137 gems11.9%77.50.93×
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 20$2,871 4,416 gems3.7%77.50.93×
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 20$716 1,102 gems0.9%57.50.67×
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 13$400 616 gems0.8%1311.21.16×
G3SG1 | Chronos (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 13$144 222 gems0.3%811.20.71×
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified10.0%$101 155 gems0.3%1915.01.27×
MP9 | Stained Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted15.0%$58.50 90 gems0.2%2022.50.89×
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified20.0%$16.20 24.93 gems0.1%3730.01.23×
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)weapon · restricted20.0%$3.24 4.99 gems0.0%2530.00.83×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)knife$4,2836,590 gems$137K210,000 gems31.87x
★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)knife$4,2836,590 gems$137K210,000 gems31.87x
★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)knife$4,2836,590 gems$137K210,000 gems31.87x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)weapon$4,2836,590 gems$55.3K85,000 gems12.90x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)weapon$4,2836,590 gems$55.3K85,000 gems12.90x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)weaponRodarius Marcell Green Jr II$4,2836,590 gems$55.3K85,000 gems12.90x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)weapon$4,2836,590 gems$55.3K85,000 gems12.90x
Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$4,2836,590 gems$34.1K52,500 gems7.97x
Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$4,2836,590 gems$34.1K52,500 gems7.97x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$4,2836,590 gems$9,18914,137 gems2.15x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$4,2836,590 gems$101155 gems0.02x
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified$4,2836,590 gems$16.2024.93 gems0.00x
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified$4,2836,590 gems$16.2024.93 gems0.00x
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)weapon · restricted$4,2836,590 gems$3.244.99 gems0.00x
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified$4,2836,590 gems$16.2024.93 gems0.00x
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedRodarius Marcell Green Jr II$4,2836,590 gems$101155 gems0.02x
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified$4,2836,590 gems$16.2024.93 gems0.00x
MP9 | Stained Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$4,2836,590 gems$58.5090 gems0.01x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)weapon$4,2836,590 gems$55.3K85,000 gems12.90x
M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · classified$4,2836,590 gems$16.2024.93 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 01:59 UTC$4,28390.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 3.0%legendary 2.0%extraordinary 5.0%covert 5.0%classified 42.5%restricted 42.5%best hit $137K (31.87x)