Flip You

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$174.49
268 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $157.04 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.97%
28 openings, odds method
Variance
0.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
22 openings · below min
30 days
28 openings · below min
since tracking started
28 openings · below min
70.0%92.5%115.0%

Small sample. 28 openings and 9.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d2291.44%±20.9—odds
30d2895.97%±18.5—odds
All2895.97%±18.5—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$17490.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 34.0%covert 63.0%sunny 3.0%best hit —