Gunslinger Case

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$37.82
58.19 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $34.04 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.68%
477 openings, odds method
Variance
3.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
70.71%±29.79164 openings
7 days
79.80%±19.65377 openings
30 days
84.68%±17.47477 openings
since tracking started
84.68%±17.47477 openings
40.5%71.8%103.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16470.71%±29.8−1.3σodds
7d37779.80%±19.6−1.0σodds
30d47784.68%±17.5−0.6σodds
All47784.68%±17.5−0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 525 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 100$551 848 gems16.2%25.30.38×
★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 100$293 451 gems8.6%45.30.76×
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 50$194 299 gems11.4%1010.50.95×
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 50$151 233 gems8.9%1810.51.71×
AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)weapon · Ancient1 in 25$124 191 gems14.6%2621.01.24×
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 25$113 174 gems13.3%2121.01.00×
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 25$70.85 109 gems8.3%2021.00.95×
USP-S | Overgrowth (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 20$44.77 68.88 gems6.6%2426.30.91×
Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 20$15.38 23.66 gems2.3%2826.31.07×
P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New)weapon · industrial17.0%$11.77 18.11 gems5.9%7689.30.85×
P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff55.0%$2.45 3.77 gems4.0%296288.81.03×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$37.8258.19 gems$551848 gems14.57x
★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$37.8258.19 gems$551848 gems14.57x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)weapon · classified$37.8258.19 gems$194299 gems5.14x
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)weapon · covert$37.8258.19 gems$70.85109 gems1.87x
P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$37.8258.19 gems$2.453.77 gems0.06x
P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$37.8258.19 gems$2.453.77 gems0.06x
P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New)weapon · industrial$37.8258.19 gems$11.7718.11 gems0.31x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Factory New)weapon · restricted$37.8258.19 gems$44.7768.88 gems1.18x
P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$37.8258.19 gems$2.453.77 gems0.06x
P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New)weapon · industrial$37.8258.19 gems$11.7718.11 gems0.31x
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$37.8258.19 gems$113174 gems2.99x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$37.8290.00%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 1.0%gold 1.0%classified 2.0%covert 10.0%Ancient 4.0%restricted 5.0%Industrial Grade 5.0%industrial 17.0%#87c7ff 55.0%best hit $551 (14.57x)