Maxxed
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$37.12
57.11 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $33.41 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.01%
2,595 openings, odds method
Variance
19.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 40
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,617 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )$37.1257.11 gems$2,0233,112 gems54.50x
Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkableTheCheeseOnToast$37.1257.11 gems$2,0233,112 gems54.50x
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalTwitchBaleszko$37.1257.11 gems$0.390.6 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $37.12 | 89.99% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 0.5%high 4.0%Classified 1.0%covert 1.5%exotic 2.0%restricted 52.0%extraordinary 4.0%Mythical 35.0%best hit $2,023 (54.50x)