Pocket Sized
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6.44
9.9 gems
Advertised RTP
89.92%
EV $5.79 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.40%
3,546 openings, odds method
Variance
6.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,611 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 200 | $198 304 gems | 17.1% | 12 | 18.1 | 0.66× |
| StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert | 1 in 67 | $53.30 82 gems | 13.8% | 49 | 54.2 | 0.90× |
| P250 | Undertow (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $21.24 32.67 gems | 11.0% | 118 | 108.3 | 1.09× |
| Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $18.38 28.28 gems | 15.9% | 161 | 180.6 | 0.89× |
| P250 | Cartel (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $9.91 15.25 gems | 17.1% | 378 | 361.1 | 1.05× |
| Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $5.95 9.16 gems | 10.3% | 355 | 361.1 | 0.98× |
| Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red | 10.0% | $3.58 5.5 gems | 6.2% | 352 | 361.1 | 0.97× |
| Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 20.0% | $1.59 2.44 gems | 5.5% | 699 | 722.2 | 0.97× |
| USP-S | Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff | 20.0% | $0.71 1.09 gems | 2.4% | 724 | 722.2 | 1.00× |
| Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon | 20.0% | $0.20 0.31 gems | 0.7% | 763 | 722.2 | 1.06× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6.44 | 89.92% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 38.5%Covert 1.5%restricted 10.0%red 10.0%#8847ff 20.0%Uncommon 20.0%best hit —