Poop's 10% Dream

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$42.80
65.85 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
77.35%
2,263 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
135 openings · below min
7 days
79.62%±16.641,962 openings
30 days
77.35%±15.002,263 openings
since tracking started
77.35%±15.002,263 openings
24.0%64.3%104.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h13564.07%±39.6—sample
7d1,96279.62%±16.6—sample
30d2,26377.35%±15.0—sample
All2,26377.35%±15.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$42.8065.85 gems$3,1524,849 gems73.64x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$42.8065.85 gems$3,1394,830 gems73.35x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$42.8065.85 gems$1,0431,604 gems24.36x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$42.8065.85 gems$1,0431,604 gems24.36x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$42.8065.85 gems$1,0431,604 gems24.36x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$42.8065.85 gems$1,0431,604 gems24.36x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$42.8065.85 gems$1,0431,604 gems24.36x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$42.8065.85 gems$1,0431,604 gems24.36x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$42.8065.85 gems$1,0161,563 gems23.74x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$42.8065.85 gems$1,0161,563 gems23.74x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo)sticker · remarkable$42.8065.85 gems$0.831.27 gems0.02x
Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo)sticker · remarkable$42.8065.85 gems$0.831.27 gems0.02x
Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo)sticker · remarkable$42.8065.85 gems$0.831.27 gems0.02x
Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo)sticker · remarkable$42.8065.85 gems$0.831.27 gems0.02x
Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo)sticker · remarkable$42.8065.85 gems$0.831.27 gems0.02x
Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo)sticker · remarkable$42.8065.85 gems$0.831.27 gems0.02x
Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo)sticker · remarkable$42.8065.85 gems$0.831.27 gems0.02x
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified$42.8065.85 gems$207319 gems4.85x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,152 (73.64x)