Rags 2 Rags
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.20
0.31 gems
Advertised RTP
89.68%
EV $0.18 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.02%
43.5K openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USP-S | Torque (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 20 | $0.96 1.47 gems | 26.4% | 2,207 | 2199.6 | 1.00× |
| AWP | Acheron (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 10.0% | $0.53 0.82 gems | 29.5% | 4,465 | 4399.3 | 1.01× |
| Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $0.33 0.51 gems | 18.3% | 4,444 | 4399.3 | 1.01× |
| P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec | 10.0% | $0.23 0.35 gems | 12.6% | 4,367 | 4399.3 | 0.99× |
| G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue | 15.0% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 5.9% | 6,510 | 6598.9 | 0.99× |
| SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 50.0% | $0.03 0.04 gems | 7.2% | 22,000 | 21996.7 | 1.00× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerNojaraaa | SKINS$0.200.31 gems$0.030.04 gems0.13x
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerNojaraaa | SKINS$0.200.31 gems$0.030.04 gems0.13x
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerNojaraaa | SKINS$0.200.31 gems$0.030.04 gems0.13x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.68%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.20 | 89.68% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmil spec 15.0%#4b69ff 10.0%milspec 10.0%blue 15.0%consumer 50.0%best hit —