Highlight Reel
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$140.78
217 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $126.70 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.13%
647 openings, odds method
Variance
9.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 673 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary | 1 in 67 | $2,906 4,471 gems | 34.4% | 13 | 10.1 | 1.29× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary | 1 in 22 | $1,204 1,852 gems | 42.8% | 29 | 30.3 | 0.96× |
| Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 33 | $455 700 gems | 10.8% | 21 | 20.2 | 1.04× |
| M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $282 434 gems | 11.1% | 36 | 33.6 | 1.07× |
| Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 1 in 17 | $4.80 7.39 gems | 0.2% | 33 | 40.4 | 0.82× |
| P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified | 40.0% | $1.16 1.78 gems | 0.4% | 260 | 269.2 | 0.97× |
| PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 40.0% | $1.06 1.63 gems | 0.3% | 281 | 269.2 | 1.04× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedCodeWILDCS 2K LB$141217 gems$1.061.63 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $141 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 6.0%rare 3.0%covert 5.0%industrial 6.0%classified 80.0%best hit $2,906 (20.64x)